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12/18/2023 Market Update
Post-OpEx strength marks an inflection in the rally. The video runs the dashboard — volatility shift, gamma exposure, Minsky flow phase, Deep MMT, the dark pool index — against the Fed's newly signaled 2024 rate cuts, plus oil, bonds, and the dollar.
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12/12/2023 Market Update
An in-line CPI print, the NY Fed's supply-chain index as a leading inflation gauge, fiscal dominance set against a static credit sector, and the December 15 confluence of peak fiscal flows, OPEX, and the Fed's rate decision.
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12/08/2023 Market Update
Payrolls beat again and the S&P holds near 4600, with $1.5 trillion in added interest income over twelve months framing the fiscal picture; gamma positioning, the 12/15 OPEX, gold, and Bitcoin round it out.
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12/05/2023 - Market Update
Two scenarios for an S&P stuck under 4600 resistance, with the December 15 options expiration and the seasonal mid-month slowdown in flows as the moving parts. November's strong fiscal flow of funds gets a reading of its own.
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12/01/2023 - Market Update
The rally runs on, and December 15th — tax drain plus options expiration — sits ahead as the inflection to watch. Two scenarios for the path into mid-month, with reads from DeepMMT, the Minsky flow phase model, and margin debt.
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11/28/2023 - Market Update
A subscriber-only market update. No written summary accompanied this edition; the full discussion is reserved for members.
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11/21/2023 - Market Update
The post-CPI rally carries November's strength toward year-end. This update reads the Daily Treasury Statement's November peak, bank flow data, and the DeepMMT model against the seasonal pattern into December OPEX.
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