Modern Macro Technologies
13 August 2026 169 research notes Daily Treasury Statement releases 4:00 PM ET DTS 4:00 PM ET

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08/09/2026 Market Update: The Rally Delivered. Now Comes the Harder Question.

(Note: Below is a summary of the Market Update Video for 08/09/2026, click here to watch the video update) Market Update Preview August opened
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07/30/2026 Market Update: The Inflection Point, Reading the New Fed, and Why You Can't Front-Run Flows

Market Update Preview Yesterday's sell-off was fierce, the Dow shed over 1,000 points following the Fed decision and Warsh's press conference,
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07/19/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview The bearish calls are stacking up — Iran escalating, oil back above $80, and the semiconductor index down over 20% from its highs. So
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07/12/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview We've gotten a little of everything since the last update — a pre-holiday pullback, a rebound, and fresh Iran tensions over the
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07/03/2026 Market Update

Update Preview A big jobs miss (57k vs. 129k expected) shook markets yesterday, but price stabilized right back to where it started and the bigger picture
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06/26/2026 Market Update

Update Preview Volatility is back. Some tech high-fliers are getting hit hard, fear is creeping into the headlines, and a lot of people are reading this
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06/18/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview Kevin Warsh ran his first FOMC meeting today, and it played out about how we should have expected: a dramatically pared-down statement, a
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06/08/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview Friday brought the sell-off we'd been flagging as a possibility — a hot jobs print spiked the VIX, dropped the Nasdaq nearly
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05/27/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview Two weeks since the last update, and the market did what we thought it would — no risk-off moment, just an overextended grind that&
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05/12/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview Inflation continues to heat up, the April CPI came in at 3.8% annual, beating expectations. That matters a lot in this framework,
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05/02/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview The new AppliedMMT dashboard is live this week — head to the beta dashboard link on the site to check it out. All the
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04/23/2026 Market Update

Update Preview Markets are consolidating right around 7100 after breaking through 7000 — exactly the pattern I was laying out last week. A half-percent dip today off
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